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Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious Over Time?
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Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious Over Time? : Intervention Timing and its Implications for Force Planning

Book Details

Format Paperback / Softback
ISBN-10 0833079018
ISBN-13 9780833079015
Publisher RAND
Imprint RAND
Country of Manufacture GB
Country of Publication GB
Publication Date Jun 14th, 2013
Print length 76 Pages
Ksh 2,700.00 Re-Printing

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Current DoD force planning processes assume that U.S. military interventions are serially independent over time. This report challenges this assumption, arguing that interventions occur in temporally dependent clusters in which the likelihood of an intervention depends on interventions in the recent past. Integrating the concept of temporal dependence into DoD planning processes could help planners develop more appropriate force estimates.

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