Ethics, Efficiency and Macroeconomics in China : From Mao to Xi

This book is an invaluable resource to understanding China and its impact on the world. It examines China’s leadership and how China should rebalance its goals by seriously working on the ethics of the society that it is creating. It argues that a more ethical society in which the Chinese masses can trust is a necessary prerequisite for the successful implementation of a consumption driven growth model, a model that China’s leadership has endorsed since 2008. It also puts forth that a more ethical society is a prerequisite for China receiving the international respect that China’s leaders crave.

This book tells the story of how China’s leaders, from Mao to Xi, have sacrificed ethics to promote either macroeconomic performance or microeconomic efficiency. This story includes Mao’s collectivization of land, the Great Leap Forward, the Great Cultural Revolution, Deng’s opening China to international trade, Tiananmen Square, the freeing of prices, food and medicine scandals, the 2015 surge and collapse of the Chinese stock market, the falling of China’s foreign reserves, and so on. In 2008, China’s leaders correctly identified the best strategy as a "consumption-driven growth strategy" because the current world is suffering from a glut of savings. However, for that strategy to work, the Chinese need to be able to trust China’s economy and leaders. In the absence of trust, people will make decisions based on extremely short time frames which will hurt China’s long-run potential and continue to generate a series of speculative bubbles. In the absence of trust, wealthy Chinese will continue to move their assets abroad, putting tremendous downward pressure on the Chinese yuan. The Chinese will develop a long-run perspective and invest in China only when they can trust China’s future. In today’s world, trust is necessary. Trust is built on ethics.