Experts, Social Scientists, and Techniques of Prognosis in Cold War America
2020 ed.
Book Details
Format
Hardback or Cased Book
ISBN-10
3030327809
ISBN-13
9783030327804
Edition
2020 ed.
Publisher
Springer Nature Switzerland AG
Imprint
Springer Nature Switzerland AG
Country of Manufacture
GB
Country of Publication
GB
Publication Date
Jan 17th, 2020
Print length
246 Pages
Weight
448 grams
Dimensions
21.90 x 15.50 x 1.90 cms
Ksh 16,200.00
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This book describes how Cold War researchers used expert opinions to construct foreknowledge of geopolitical relevance. Focusing on the RAND Corporation, an American think tank with close relations to the armed forces, Dayé analyses the development of two techniques of prognosis, the Delphi technique and Political Gaming. Based on archival research and interviews, the chapters explore the history of this series of experiments to understand how contemporary social scientists conceived of one of the core categories of the Cold War, the expert, and uncover the systematic use of expert opinions to craft prognoses. This consideration of the expert’s role in Cold War society and what that can tell us about the role of the expert today will be of interest to students and scholars across the history of science, the sociology of knowledge, future studies, the history of the Cold War, social science methodology, and social policy.
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