Navigating Strategic Decisions : The Power of Sound Analysis and Forecasting

Based on forty years of experience and research, this book provides guidance on forecasting for strategic decision making. It includes methodology, tools, and models. It also explains how to apply sanity checks to existing forecasts to rank project valuations, identify project risks, and select the higher value creation projects. The author discusses how to assess the feasibility of large projects, analyze forecasting models to determine controllable levers, and create the conditions needed for forecasts to materialize.

Based on four decades of experience and research, Navigating Strategic Decisions: The Power of Sound Analysis and Forecasting explains how to improve the decision-making process in your organization through the use of better long-term forecasts and decision support. Filled with time-tested methodologies and models, it provides you with the tools to establish the organization, processes, methods, and techniques required for analyzing and forecasting strategic decisions.

Describing how to foster the conditions required for forecasts to materialize, this book will help you rank project valuations and select higher value creation projects. It also teaches you how to:

• Assess the commercial feasibility of large projects
• Apply sanity checks to forecasts and assess their resource implications
• Benchmark best-in-class strategic forecasting organizations, processes, and practices
• Identify project risks and manage project uncertainty
• Analyze forecasting models and scenarios to determine controllable levers
• Pinpoint factors needed to ensure that forecasted future states materialize as expected

This book provides you with the benefit of the author’s decades of hands-on experience. In this book, John Triantis shares valuable insights on strategic planning, new product development, portfolio management, and business development groups. Describing how to provide world-class support to your corporate, market, and other planning functions, the book provides you with the tools to consistently make improved decisions that are based on hard data, balanced evaluations, well considered scenarios, and sound forecasts.