Operational Unpredictability and Deterrence : Evaluating Options for Complicating Adversary Decisionmaking

by Angela O'Mahony , Bryan Frederick , Miranda Priebe

Book Details

Format Paperback / Softback

ISBN-10 1977406165

ISBN-13 9781977406163

Publisher RAND

Imprint RAND

Country of Manufacture GB

Country of Publication GB

Publication Date Oct 31st, 2021

Print length 118 Pages

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This report assesses whether and how the U.S. military might utilize unpredictability in force employment, posture, and operations to deter adversaries and identifies the possible risks and costs of such approaches.

The 2018 U.S. National Defense Strategy instructed the U.S. military to become more operationally unpredictable and suggested that doing so would help the United States deter attacks on U.S. partners. The authors of this report assess whether and how the U.S. military might utilize unpredictability in force employment, posture, and operations to deter adversaries and identify the possible risks of such approaches.

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