Systemic Transitions : Past, Present, and Future

We are all familiar with the popular and academic analyses of the ongoing and future ascent of China. Framing the question this way presumes that a) future systemic transitions remain a possibility and b) transitions do not occur abruptly but may require several decades to set up structural situations in which a transition might take place.

How Might We Know a Systemic Transition is Underway? Clues for the 21st Century; W.R.Thompson PART I: PAST Relative Decline: Why Does it Induce War or Sustain Peace?; S.Chan & B.Tessman State Type and Transitions in Hegemony: The Impact of Technologically Driven Geopolitical, Economic, and Politico-Military Boundary Problems; P.J.Hugill Structural Preludes to Systemic Transition Since 1494; W.R.Thompson Falling Down: An Empirical Test of Dynamic Differentials Theory, 1500-1999; M.Lee PART II: PRESENT Searching for Changing Organizational Architecture During Global Transitons: Where is the Post-Cold War Order?; T.J.Volgy , K.A.Grant & E.Fausett Whether and How Global Leadership Transitions Will Result in War: Some Long-term Forecasts from the Steps-to-War Explanation; J.Vasquez Implications of Asia''s Rise to Global Status; J.Kugler & R.Tammen Kantian Dynamics and Systemic Transitions: Can International Organizations Influence U.S.-China Conflict?; D.Rapkin & W.R.Thompson Explorations of Connections Between Energy Use and Leadership Transitions; D.J.LePoire PART III: FUTURE The Evolutionary Trajectory of the World System Toward an Age of Transition; T.C.Devezas Cities in Transitions and Transformations: Exploring a Jacobsean Approach to Macro-Social Change; P.J.Taylor Scale Transitions and the Evolution of Global Governance Since the Bronze Age; C.Chase-Dunn , R.Niemeyer , A.Alvarez & H.Inoui