The Black Dragon : Leadership, foresight and power to win in an age of permanent disruption

In a world fractured by constant volatility, traditional leadership frameworks are being challenged by forces that evolve faster than institutions can interpret them. This book challenges the comforting illusion of the “Black Swan” — that major disruptions are rare, unpredictable events best understood only after they occur. Instead, the author introduces the perma-disruption ecosystem: an environment where geopolitical, technological and regulatory forces continuously collide and compound. The true threat to modern institutions is not the rare, unforeseeable shock; it is the “Black Dragon” — a massive systemic force that is visible long before its full consequences unfold, yet repeatedly ignored because no single signal feels urgent enough to demand action until the power to choose has already begun to disappear. Written for forward-thinking executives, board members and senior leaders, The Black Dragon delivers a rigorous architecture for institutional foresight, proactive governance and strategic transformation. At its core is Black Dragon Logic: the discipline of reading the terrain of perma-disruption. Moving beyond passive delegation and superficial agility, the book outlines a demanding new leadership contract rooted in collective intelligence and anticipatory accountability. It explains how to cut through paralyzing data noise, interpret converging power dynamics and deploy capital with confidence before disruption becomes obvious to everyone else.