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The Turnout Myth
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The Turnout Myth : Voting Rates and Partisan Outcomes in American National Elections

Book Details

Format Hardback or Cased Book
ISBN-10 0190089458
ISBN-13 9780190089450
Publisher Oxford University Press Inc
Imprint Oxford University Press Inc
Country of Manufacture US
Country of Publication GB
Publication Date Jan 24th, 2020
Print length 214 Pages
Weight 452 grams
Dimensions 16.30 x 24.30 x 1.40 cms
Ksh 18,900.00
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The Turnout Myth refutes the long and widely held convention that high voter participation advantages Democratic candidates while low involvement helps Republicans in national elections. This book examines over 50 years of presidential, gubernatorial, Senatorial, and House election data to show there is no consistent partisan effect associated with turnout. With a data-driven argument, Daron Shaw and John Petrocik demonstrate that the overall relationship between the partisan vote and turnout for these offices is uncorrelated.
When voter turnout is high, Democrats have an advantage--or so the truism goes. But, it is true? In The Turnout Myth, Daron Shaw and John Petrocik refute the widely held convention that high voter participation benefits Democrats while low involvement helps Republicans. The authors examine over 50 years of presidential, gubernatorial, Senatorial, and House election data to show that there is no consistent partisan effect associated with voter turnout in national elections. Instead, less-engaged citizens'' responses to short-term forces-candidate appeal, issues, scandals, and the like-determine election turnout. Moreover, Republican and Democratic candidates are equally affected by short-term forces. The consistency of these effects suggests that partisan conflict over eligibility, registration, and voting rules and regulations is less important for election outcomes than both sides seem to believe. Featuring powerful evidence and analytical acumen, this book provides a new foundation for thinking about U.S. elections.

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