Paul K. Davis

Understanding and Influencing Public Support for Insurgency and Terrorism

Social–Behavioral Modeling for Complex Systems

Implications for Model Validation of Multiresolution, Multiperspective Modeling (Mrmpm) and Exploratory Analysis (2003)

Effects-based Operations (EBO)

Analysis to Inform Defense Planning Despite Austerity

Dilemmas of Intervention

Capabilities for Joint Analysis in the Department of Defense

Motivated Metamodels

Implications of Modern Decision Science for Military Decision-support Systems

Looming Discontinuities in U.S. Military Strategy and Defense Planning

Enhancing Strategic Planning with Massive Scenario Generation

Analysis of Strategy and Strategies of Analysis

Reflecting Warfighter Needs in Air Force Programs

Experiments in Multiresolution Modeling (MRM)

Resource Allocation for the New Defense Strategy

A Computational Model of Public Support for Insurgency and Terrorism

Finding Candidate Options for Investment

Improving the Composability of Department of Defense Models and Simulations

Using Behavioral Indicators to Help Detect Potential Violent Acts

Portfolio-analysis Methods for Assessing Capability Options

Uncertainty-Sensitive Heterogeneous Information Fusion

Analytic Architecture for Capabilities-based Planning, Mission-system Analysis and Transformation

Deterrence and Influence in Counterterrorism

Developing Resource-informed Strategic Assessments and Recommendations

Simple Models to Explore Deterrence and More General Influence in the War with Al-Qaeda

Lessons from Rand's Work on Planning Under Uncertainty for National Security